Secret Swing Trading Strategy

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  • in reply to: Excel Sheet #122905
    Nitin Bhatia
    Keymaster

      There is only subtraction used in this analysis.
      You need to understand the logic behind it, What does Premium Decay mean.
      I suggest try to prepare that excel sheet by your own, then you will be able to relate it, which Premium is decayed on concerned strike price.
      On some bad day it may confuse you, but believe me its not Rocket Science. Its simple logic.

      in reply to: Conclusion of big players position #122903
      Nitin Bhatia
      Keymaster

        There is NO standard rule. Query is answered by the @uspljacs

        in reply to: Option chain and IV #122900
        Nitin Bhatia
        Keymaster

          Unwinding of position does not necessarily mean that it is done by big player. It can be by retail investors also if their stop loss is hit. You have to check the smart money flow and then decide who is unwinding? If big player is unwinding then definitely it will impact IV and Premium.

          I shared a video on how to find correlation coefficient between the IV and the stock price. IV may increase or decrease.

          in reply to: SBI links interest rate with repo rate #122896
          Nitin Bhatia
          Keymaster

            It will be good if interest rates come down and it is bad if the interest rates goes up (In this case, it will hit the profitability).

            In my opinion, SBI thinks that interest rate will not go up for atleast next few years & it will increase their profitability if the interest rates are low thus they have taken this calculated risk.

            Nitin Bhatia
            Keymaster

              1. Based on IV system alert
              2. Alert comes early
              3. There is no standard rule. It depends on IV. I explained in one of the options chain video.
              4. During stop loss hunting, No major change in key option chain parameters.
              5. You cannot predict stop loss hunting very early…I use it to average out my position.

              in reply to: Conclusion of big players position #122076
              Nitin Bhatia
              Keymaster

                Sometimes it’s for time being and sometimes its long term positions you can conclude based on volume but as per rule its Long position

                in reply to: Conclusion of big players position #121919
                Nitin Bhatia
                Keymaster

                  Dear uspljacs
                  My question is in general sense not for current situation.
                  If call oi increase aggressively relative to volume in particular time period during intraday, and at that time iv and premium also increase then should we conclude that call are bought by big players

                  in reply to: Conclusion of big players position #121286
                  Nitin Bhatia
                  Keymaster

                    You cant conclude based on IV increase or decrease or open interest increased or decreased. you need to view the following parameter to understand the position better.
                    1. Correlation with Index and Vix
                    2. Correlation with Implied Volatility
                    3. Option Chain
                    4. Position On Chart
                    5. Volume Candle
                    6. Market Sentiment ( FII Sentiment)
                    7. Awaiting for Exit Poll Result Nifty may High Volatile
                    8. Premium Decay
                    As this week is news based week we can see both side movement.

                    in reply to: Correlation – Coefficient – Query #121283
                    Nitin Bhatia
                    Keymaster

                      Yesterday Day end Volume Candle is Negative (red) and there is a very low delivery percentage on Nifty and Bank Nifty. Also observed There is less premium decay in Put options. Correlation is also Strong negative and there is a weak co-relation between Vix and Index. my learning is In current week market is in Bearish sentiment with Cautious Approach Not seen much volume despite high premium ( this time it’s new learning for me) suggest me if I am wrong in any of above observation.

                      in reply to: Excel Sheet #120769
                      Nitin Bhatia
                      Keymaster

                        Thanks a lot for reverting..
                        You are right, I can prepare,Saw this video 3 times, only CONCERN IS THE FORMULA, WHICH MAY GO WRONG..

                        So request Nitinji, you and all fellow learners..Those who downloaded it then..KINDLY SHARE THE EXCELSHEET,..Shall be greatful..

                        Nitinji KINDLY REVERT..

                        in reply to: Excel Sheet #119436
                        Nitin Bhatia
                        Keymaster

                          u can create watch Nitin sir video
                          https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bbm-apjUFlQ

                          in reply to: Premium decay query #119278
                          Nitin Bhatia
                          Keymaster

                            And one more thing sir agar puts ke premium kafi high hote hain to yahan 2 case hote hain
                            1- put writers ko dar h ki market yahan se niche ja sakta h
                            2- wahan put writing continuous ho ri h isliye wo high premiums par apna mal put buyers ko chipka rahe hain isliye premiums high hain.
                            Dono hi case contradictory hain

                            in reply to: Quantom Physic #116412
                            Nitin Bhatia
                            Keymaster

                              please help because i had and still searching on internet and try to find relation of quantum physic and stock market but i didn’t find enough informative data on internet …..

                              in reply to: OPTION GREEKS #115652
                              Nitin Bhatia
                              Keymaster

                                1-Undelying price
                                2-strike price
                                3-Implied volatility
                                4-Risk free interest rate
                                5-Dividend yield(NA for nifty)
                                6-Time to expairy

                                in reply to: Correlation – Coefficient – Query #115238
                                Nitin Bhatia
                                Keymaster

                                  Please help on how to calculate correlation between Call side IV, Put Side IV. I am little confused, I have seen the video multiple time but still not sure.
                                  1) =correl(call side IVs, Put side IV’s) or
                                  2) =correl(call side IV’s, Nifty closing prices) vice versa for put side

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