Secret Swing Trading Strategy

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  • in reply to: Quarterly results Analysis #94103
    Nitin Bhatia
    Keymaster

      I agree with Manish..Wait for RBI circular.

      in reply to: Quarterly results Analysis #94097
      Nitin Bhatia
      Keymaster

        You cannot conclude that..You have to observe the last 3-4 weeks movement before any final conclusion.

        in reply to: JSW steel #94095
        Nitin Bhatia
        Keymaster

          Also to add that beware of Fake/Failed breakouts..I will prefer to trust this breakout if overall steel sector is performing okay or is in a phase of turnaround else wait.

          in reply to: Iv rank or iv percentile #94092
          Nitin Bhatia
          Keymaster

            Perfectly explained..Thanks

            in reply to: Speculative Trading #94090
            Nitin Bhatia
            Keymaster

              2- 3 days is good enough else you will miss the bus

              in reply to: Speculative Trading #94088
              Nitin Bhatia
              Keymaster

                FII’s are not allowed to take Intraday Position. Therefore, 3rd option is ruled out. Balance 2 options are beautifully explained by Santanu

                in reply to: need an idea about IV #94083
                Nitin Bhatia
                Keymaster

                  You may consider ATM and near ATM on OTM side.

                  in reply to: need an idea about IV #94081
                  Nitin Bhatia
                  Keymaster

                    yes but there is no upper or lower limit of IV. It is qualitative conclusion.

                    in reply to: need an idea about IV #94077
                    Nitin Bhatia
                    Keymaster

                      Dear Hiren ji,

                      Do you consider IV in atm contracts and compare the difference between ATM call and Put , along with premium decay. ?

                      in reply to: Speculative Trading #94068
                      Nitin Bhatia
                      Keymaster

                        How many days of data need to be considered to confirm speculative buy/sell. Eg: I am using 3 days of EOD data.

                        in reply to: Speculative Trading #94032
                        Nitin Bhatia
                        Keymaster

                          To
                          Pavan.goyal
                          when big players creates speculative position then *TRADED VALUE(the value of the total no of shares traded) increased but delivery % decreased..at the end of the day if you check delivery % decreased but traded value increased that means big players not interest in cash buying .. thats why delivery% decreased ..
                          when they creates this type of activity implied volatility increased because they also hedge their position using option..
                          if they play in intraday with heavy lots then it will not so easy to sqroff the trade same day ,then how can they book profit?? Stock/index should move 5/6% then they can earn 2/3%..
                          i hope your doubt is clear.
                          thank you

                          in reply to: Iv rank or iv percentile #94029
                          Nitin Bhatia
                          Keymaster

                            IV Rank: Rank the current implied volatility against the historical implied volatility range (IV High – IV low), typically over a one-year period.

                            IV Percentile: Tell us the % of time in the stock’s implied volatility was lower than the current implied volatility over a historical period-typically 1 year.

                            Which one we should is subjective.

                            in reply to: Iv rank or iv percentile #93684
                            Nitin Bhatia
                            Keymaster

                              It depends on what kind of market you are referring to.
                              I can relate to one of Nitin Ji’s Option Chain videos where he mentioned the following:

                              1. In Bull Market: High IV at ATM would be 21 – 24
                              2. In Bull Market: Low IV at ATM would be 15 – 16
                              3. In Bear Market: High IV at ATM would be 38 – 40
                              4. In Bear Market: Low IV at ATM would be 21 – 22
                              5. In Range Market: High IV at ATM would be 20 – 21
                              6. In Range Market: Low IV at ATM would be 12 – 13

                              For an example, around 9.68 IV for a strike suggests the market is in range and the IV is low. Hence, we can buy Call options but we should not sell Put options.

                              Hope this helps.

                              Nitin Ji,

                              Please correct me if the information I furnished above are wrong.

                              Thanks & Regards,
                              Anirban Deb.

                              in reply to: JSW steel #93353
                              Nitin Bhatia
                              Keymaster

                                To
                                Manish
                                *in jsw steel speculative position created by big players..
                                *it is trading in a channel..traded value is increased but delivery % dropped..
                                *iv of this stock also increased..
                                Picture
                                https://drive.google.com/file/d/1Th2QTFs2Vf_-11zhHAKkoHv2RVvNmzsG/view?usp=sharing

                                thank you Manish for this information

                                in reply to: Quarterly results Analysis #92996
                                Nitin Bhatia
                                Keymaster

                                  Dear all
                                  Nitin ji already long back intimated in one of his streaming that smart money is being removed from banking sectors and we can clearly see the effect on almost all bank results so please be careful before investing in banking sector I would advise all to wait till the new RBI circular as directed by Supreme Court which will be released after elections

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